Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005549 0.006323 0.007216 0.008332 0.009706 0.011366 0.013557
2026-01-25 0.004408 0.005332 0.006493 0.008099 0.010323 0.013400 0.018185
2026-02-01 0.003693 0.004631 0.005877 0.007715 0.010477 0.014695 0.022164
2026-02-08 0.003199 0.004117 0.005386 0.007350 0.010493 0.015698 0.026014
2026-02-15 0.002957 0.003902 0.005260 0.007469 0.011241 0.018066 0.033489
2026-02-22 0.002696 0.003623 0.004994 0.007309 0.011469 0.019556 0.040032
2026-03-01 0.002463 0.003359 0.004714 0.007073 0.011498 0.020651 0.046377
2026-03-08 0.002281 0.003151 0.004496 0.006904 0.011607 0.021944 0.054306
2026-03-15 0.002196 0.003085 0.004495 0.007111 0.012500 0.025363 0.072492
2026-03-22 0.002137 0.003052 0.004541 0.007409 0.013653 0.029980 0.102259
2026-03-29 0.002093 0.003037 0.004615 0.007770 0.015052 0.036078 0.153355
2026-04-05 0.001985 0.002908 0.004475 0.007680 0.015350 0.038974 0.194611
2026-04-12 0.001888 0.002797 0.004371 0.007681 0.015968 0.043726 0.276186
2026-04-19 0.001772 0.002647 0.004183 0.007480 0.016022 0.046571 0.362373
2026-04-26 0.001650 0.002478 0.003945 0.007138 0.015600 0.047271 0.431690
2026-05-03 0.001541 0.002326 0.003726 0.006810 0.015151 0.047672 0.509224
2026-05-10 0.001493 0.002277 0.003699 0.006916 0.016024 0.055106 0.902554
2026-05-17 0.001421 0.002180 0.003573 0.006773 0.016089 0.058593 1.336351
2026-05-24 0.001348 0.002077 0.003426 0.006561 0.015886 0.060513 1.865551
2026-05-31 0.001287 0.001993 0.003309 0.006409 0.015850 0.063558 2.938788
2026-06-07 0.001264 0.001976 0.003328 0.006595 0.017048 0.076467 12.590834
2026-06-14 0.001249 0.001974 0.003375 0.006862 0.018656 0.095999 2319.661783
2026-06-21 0.001239 0.001980 0.003439 0.007187 0.020654 0.125230 NaN